Hong Kong vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
HKG
1 - 0
MUS
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HKG
3 - 1
PHL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HKG
3 - 0
KHM
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
HKG
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
BRN
31%
23%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 0
MAC
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 0
MMR
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MMR
5 - 1
MAC
73%
17%
11%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
KHM
4 - 0
MAC
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |