Hong Kong vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
IDN
3 - 0
HKG
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
HKG
2 - 0
BGD
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
QAT
2 - 0
HKG
86%
11%
4%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HKG
0 - 0
UZB
8%
15%
77%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
UZB
2 - 2
HKG
87%
10%
4%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 1
BTN
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 0
HKG
19%
20%
61%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
KGZ
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2006 |
PAK
2 - 2
MAC
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
TJK
4 - 0
MAC
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |