Hong Kong vs Macau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
0 - 2
PRK
13%
20%
67%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
TWN
0 - 5
HKG
14%
20%
66%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2005 |
GUM
0 - 15
HKG
5%
14%
81%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
HKG
6 - 0
MNG
84%
11%
5%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
HKG
1 - 7
BRA
9%
20%
72%
|
56 | 98 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Macau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
VCT
2 - 0
MAC
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
CUB
0 - 0
MAC
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 73 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
MAC
1 - 3
TWN
42%
22%
36%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
TWN
3 - 0
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
SGP
2 - 0
MAC
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | 0 |