Hong Kong vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.8%
75.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
UZB
3 - 0
HKG
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 2
UZB
8%
17%
76%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 3
PLE
17%
23%
59%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
HKG
0 - 1
IRN
6%
15%
78%
|
47 | 90 | 43 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UAE
3 - 1
HKG
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 79 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
TKM
0 - 1
IRN
7%
19%
74%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
IRN
5 - 0
TKM
86%
10%
3%
|
90 | 54 | 36 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 3
QAT
71%
18%
11%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IRN
2 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
IRN
1 - 1
SYR
83%
12%
5%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |