Hong Kong vs Guam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.2%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
HKG
2 - 0
SGP
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
KHM
0 - 2
HKG
20%
24%
56%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
KHM
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
MMR
3 - 0
HKG
31%
27%
42%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
VIE
2 - 2
HKG
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Guam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
OMA
1 - 0
GUM
85%
11%
4%
|
32 | 78 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TWN
3 - 2
GUM
48%
22%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
GUM
0 - 6
IRN
6%
17%
77%
|
33 | 87 | 54 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
GUM
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
TKM
1 - 0
GUM
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | -1 |