Hong Kong vs Bhutan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
10 - 0
BRN
73%
16%
12%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
KHM
1 - 1
HKG
19%
22%
59%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
10%
16%
74%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VIE
1 - 0
HKG
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 0
HKG
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bhutan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
MAC
0 - 1
BTN
51%
19%
30%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 3
BGD
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
BTN
1 - 4
LBN
5%
19%
76%
|
23 | 63 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
MDV
2 - 0
BTN
83%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
BTN
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | 0 |