Hong Kong vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
HKG
3 - 1
PHL
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
HKG
3 - 0
KHM
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
LIE
1 - 0
HKG
16%
21%
63%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 3
HKG
54%
24%
23%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
MUS
0 - 2
SYR
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 70 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
IND
0 - 0
MUS
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MUS
2 - 1
SWZ
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
LBY
2 - 1
MUS
82%
13%
5%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
1 - 2
CHA
22%
24%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |