Hong Kong vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1999 |
HKG
0 - 0
MEX
16%
26%
59%
|
57 | 90 | 33 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1998 |
THA
5 - 0
HKG
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1998 |
HKG
0 - 6
OMA
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1998 |
HKG
1 - 1
VIE
56%
23%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1997 |
KOR
4 - 0
HKG
82%
13%
6%
|
58 | 87 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
LSO
1 - 2
MUS
60%
20%
19%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1998 |
SYC
4 - 3
MUS
47%
23%
30%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1998 |
MAD
2 - 0
MUS
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
CPV
2 - 2
MUS
69%
18%
14%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
GAM
2 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |