Hong Kong vs Jordan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
LBN
2 - 0
HKG
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JOR
4 - 0
HKG
70%
20%
9%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
0 - 1
PRK
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 76 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
4 - 2
TWN
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HKG
3 - 2
GUM
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Jordan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
IRQ
1 - 0
JOR
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
JOR
7 - 0
KHM
82%
14%
5%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JOR
4 - 0
HKG
70%
20%
9%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
JOR
1 - 0
GEO
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
JOR
0 - 0
LBN
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |