Hong Kong vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
HKG
1 - 0
VIE
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
UZB
0 - 0
HKG
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 4
PRK
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 1
AUS
6%
17%
77%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
SGP
1 - 0
PHL
60%
20%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
PHL
0 - 0
SGP
32%
25%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
PHL
2 - 0
MMR
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
VIE
0 - 1
PHL
62%
20%
18%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
THA
2 - 1
PHL
82%
12%
6%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | -1 |