Hong Kong vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
59.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
TWN
1 - 2
HKG
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
IDN
1 - 1
HKG
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
HKG
0 - 1
THA
9%
14%
77%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
PRK
2 - 0
HKG
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
HKG
0 - 1
LBN
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PRK
4 - 1
MNG
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 29 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UZB
2 - 0
PRK
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
UZB
2 - 2
PRK
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
PRK
2 - 0
HKG
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
CHN
1 - 1
PRK
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |