Hong Kong vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
2 - 0
TWN
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
HKG
0 - 1
AUS
6%
17%
77%
|
52 | 89 | 37 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
GUM
1 - 2
HKG
5%
14%
82%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAS
1 - 1
HKG
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
SGP
2 - 0
HKG
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
1 - 1
AUS
13%
22%
65%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
PRK
5 - 0
GUM
87%
10%
3%
|
77 | 22 | 55 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
TWN
1 - 6
PRK
12%
21%
68%
|
77 | 39 | 38 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
IDN
0 - 2
PRK
34%
26%
40%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
TKM
1 - 2
PRK
31%
27%
42%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |