Hong Kong vs North Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
TWN
0 - 4
HKG
14%
19%
67%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
YEM
1 - 0
HKG
44%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
1 - 3
BHR
11%
20%
69%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
2 - 1
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 9
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PRK
9 - 2
GUM
92%
7%
1%
|
78 | 22 | 56 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
KSA
0 - 0
PRK
66%
22%
13%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
PRK
0 - 0
IRN
21%
27%
52%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRK
69%
21%
10%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PRK
2 - 0
UAE
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |