Hong Kong vs Bahrain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
69.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
HKG
2 - 1
IND
45%
24%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
MAC
1 - 9
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 1
HKG
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
TKM
3 - 0
HKG
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
HKG
0 - 0
TKM
38%
23%
38%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bahrain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
OMA
2 - 0
BHR
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
0 - 1
KWT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
BHR
3 - 1
IRQ
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2008 |
BHR
2 - 2
SYR
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2008 |
BHR
1 - 0
KSA
31%
28%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |