Hong Kong U23 XI vs Lee Man Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
10º
10º
54
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2 qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
WTP
6 - 0
HKU
76%
14%
9%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 2
HKU
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 3
NDT
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 1
HON
18%
19%
63%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
HKU
0 - 5
BIU
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
WTP
2 - 3
WAR
20%
23%
57%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BIU
3 - 4
WAR
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHA
86%
11%
4%
|
70 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 0
WAR
42%
22%
35%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
WTP
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |