Hong Kong U23 XI vs Southern District analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
60.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
10º
10º
31
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23 XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
0 - 3
WTP
38%
23%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
HKU
1 - 2
SHA
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
HKU
0 - 5
EAS
19%
24%
57%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HKU
0 - 5
BIU
31%
24%
46%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HON
2 - 1
HKU
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Southern District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SDI
2 - 1
BIU
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SDI
1 - 2
EAS
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
SDI
50%
21%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SDI
3 - 1
WTP
69%
18%
14%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
SDI
3 - 0
SHA
82%
13%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |