Hong Kong U23 vs Afghanistan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
UZB
1 - 1
HKG
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
OMA
3 - 0
HKG
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
HKG
4 - 1
BGD
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
UZB
0 - 1
HKG
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HKG
1 - 1
UAE
36%
24%
39%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Afghanistan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2014 |
BGD
1 - 0
AFG
17%
22%
62%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |