HK Sapling vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HON
3 - 1
SHA
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HON
1 - 2
HON
56%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
HON
3 - 2
SHA
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
2 - 2
HON
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CWD
0 - 3
HON
23%
22%
56%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CWD
0 - 3
SCA
45%
24%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
SCA
0 - 3
NDT
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CAA
3 - 4
SCA
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
2 - 2
HON
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
SHA
2 - 1
SCA
21%
21%
58%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |