HK Sapling vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
74.2%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
4%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
6.3%
2-5
2.5%
3-6
0.6%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
3.9%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.3%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
2.1%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
4-9
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
HON
6 - 0
WAR
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
HON
2 - 2
EAS
24%
25%
51%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HON
1 - 5
RFH
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
WTP
1 - 2
HON
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SDI
1 - 0
HON
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
HOI
1 - 1
KFC
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
KFC
3 - 0
AIR
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
APR
2 - 0
KFC
10%
13%
78%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
KFC
1 - 1
SDI
62%
21%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
KFC
2 - 4
WTP
55%
21%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |