HK Sapling vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
HON
3 - 1
SHA
93%
6%
1%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HON
1 - 2
HON
56%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
HON
3 - 2
SHA
86%
10%
4%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
SCA
2 - 2
HON
26%
22%
52%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CWD
0 - 3
HON
23%
22%
56%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAA
1 - 3
EAD
34%
23%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
CAA
3 - 4
RES
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CAA
3 - 4
SCA
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
WIN
5 - 3
CAA
63%
19%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAA
2 - 3
CWD
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |