Hong Kong FC vs Yau Tsim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
SDI
0 - 1
HON
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 5
HON
11%
17%
71%
|
55 | 25 | 30 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
HON
1 - 3
VCF
24%
26%
50%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
HON
1 - 1
VIL
16%
24%
61%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
HON
8 - 2
KWU
86%
9%
4%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Yau Tsim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
YTS
2 - 2
DOU
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAA
1 - 2
YTS
74%
17%
10%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |