Hong Kong FC vs Lee Man Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
6º
44
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SDI
0 - 0
HON
59%
20%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BIU
0 - 1
HON
38%
23%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RES
1 - 2
HON
19%
17%
64%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
HON
23%
20%
58%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
HON
0 - 5
KFC
16%
19%
65%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lee Man Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
KFC
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 0
SHA
80%
13%
8%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
10 - 0
HKU
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 3
SDI
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
BIU
55%
24%
22%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |