Hong Kong FC vs Tung Po AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
DOU
0 - 0
HON
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
WIN
0 - 2
HON
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
HON
1 - 1
KWA
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
KKA
0 - 12
HON
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
HON
6 - 0
FUK
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Tung Po AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TPA
1 - 5
WIN
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
KWA
2 - 2
TPA
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
TPA
3 - 2
KKA
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FUK
5 - 4
TPA
57%
22%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TPA
0 - 13
SHA
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -2 |