Hong Kong FC vs Tuen Mun FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
WAN
0 - 2
HON
20%
22%
59%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WON
1 - 0
HON
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HON
2 - 1
DOU
81%
12%
7%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WIN
1 - 2
HON
32%
23%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
2 - 3
HON
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tuen Mun FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
TUE
2 - 2
WIN
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
KWA
2 - 0
TUE
52%
21%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TUE
4 - 1
LUC
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
WAN
3 - 2
TUE
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 5
TUE
77%
14%
9%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +2 |