Hong Kong FC vs TSW Pegasus FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
56.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
HON
1 - 3
CAA
38%
24%
39%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
HON
1 - 4
SCA
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
WTP
1 - 2
HON
57%
21%
22%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
HON
2 - 4
YOK
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
TMS
1 - 0
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
TMS
0 - 2
PFC
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
PFC
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
PFC
3 - 2
YOK
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PFC
0 - 1
WTP
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PFC
0 - 4
SHS
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -2 |