Hong Kong FC vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
HON
0 - 3
HVA
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HON
0 - 1
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MUT
0 - 5
HON
14%
18%
67%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
HON
6 - 1
DOU
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HON
4 - 0
CAA
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 2
SCA
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
YOK
2 - 2
SCA
32%
22%
46%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
SCA
1 - 5
WIN
24%
21%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
WON
1 - 2
SCA
40%
23%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 3
HVA
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -2 |