Hong Kong FC vs Lucky Mile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.3%
3.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
KWA
1 - 3
HON
15%
20%
66%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
KWU
0 - 4
HON
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
HON
7 - 0
TUE
87%
9%
5%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
WAN
0 - 2
HON
20%
22%
59%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
WON
1 - 0
HON
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Lucky Mile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
WIN
23%
20%
57%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 0
KWA
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
WON
2 - 0
LUC
80%
14%
7%
|
27 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 1
KWU
27%
23%
51%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
3 - 1
WAN
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +4 |