Hong Kong FC vs Kwai Tsing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.9%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-92%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
HON
2 - 1
TCS
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
HON
4 - 2
SHA
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
TUE
2 - 7
HON
12%
19%
70%
|
56 | 23 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
HON
2 - 0
WAN
87%
9%
4%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 3
HON
12%
19%
70%
|
55 | 26 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 1
KWA
64%
20%
17%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
WTP
5 - 0
KWA
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
WAN
2 - 5
KWA
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
KWA
1 - 5
DOU
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
WON
4 - 0
KWA
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |