Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
HON
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
HON
0 - 3
WAR
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
BIU
4 - 0
HON
26%
20%
53%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
HKU
2 - 2
HON
39%
23%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
HON
2 - 3
BIU
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
4 - 0
KFC
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
KFC
2 - 2
VIS
33%
24%
43%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
2 - 3
KFC
23%
22%
55%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
VIS
2 - 1
KFC
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
KFC
1 - 0
CHI
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |