Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
6º
46
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
5%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
HON
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
RES
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
EAS
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 0
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
BIU
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HKU
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
7 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 42 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RES
0 - 5
KFC
16%
21%
62%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
KFC
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |