Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
HKO
1 - 2
HON
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2006 |
HON
0 - 0
BIU
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAA
4 - 1
HON
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HON
1 - 4
HVA
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SCA
2 - 0
HON
52%
24%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
KFC
3 - 2
BIU
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
HVA
0 - 3
KFC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
2 - 0
SHS
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
WTP
1 - 6
KFC
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
4 - 1
HKO
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |