Hong Kong FC vs Happy Valley AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HON
0 - 1
WIN
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
MUT
0 - 5
HON
14%
18%
67%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
HON
6 - 1
DOU
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
HON
4 - 0
CAA
81%
12%
7%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WON
0 - 7
HON
11%
15%
74%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Happy Valley AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HVA
4 - 1
SHA
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
EAD
2 - 4
HVA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CWD
1 - 2
HVA
20%
23%
58%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SCA
0 - 3
HVA
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
HVA
4 - 0
WIN
37%
22%
41%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |