Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SCA
3 - 2
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
HON
2 - 2
YOK
77%
15%
9%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 4
HON
15%
19%
67%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 3
HON
32%
22%
46%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HON
3 - 0
MUT
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 2
HVA
21%
24%
56%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CWD
3 - 3
CAA
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
CAA
1 - 4
HON
15%
19%
67%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
DOU
3 - 4
CAA
34%
22%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BIU
0 - 1
CAA
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +1 |