Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
WON
0 - 7
HON
11%
15%
74%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
BIU
1 - 1
HON
24%
21%
55%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HON
3 - 0
EAD
66%
19%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CWD
0 - 2
HON
9%
14%
78%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
HON
1 - 1
TCS
80%
13%
8%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MUT
1 - 1
CAA
55%
22%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAA
1 - 3
TCS
60%
20%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
SHA
2 - 1
CAA
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
WON
1 - 2
CAA
55%
21%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAA
2 - 1
SCA
33%
23%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |