Hong Kong FC vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-84%
+153%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
HON
4 - 1
EAD
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
WIN
3 - 4
HON
72%
15%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
HOI
0 - 2
HON
38%
23%
39%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
TCS
1 - 4
HON
40%
22%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
5 - 0
HON
67%
18%
15%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
0 - 5
SHS
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
EAD
1 - 3
CAA
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
YOK
1 - 3
CAA
41%
23%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
CAA
3 - 0
KWU
80%
13%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
TUN
2 - 5
CAA
41%
24%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |