Hong Kong 08 vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2006 |
SHF
2 - 0
HKO
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HKO
0 - 4
KFC
12%
20%
69%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
HKO
1 - 1
BIU
21%
24%
55%
|
43 | 66 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
HVA
1 - 0
HKO
76%
15%
8%
|
43 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
HKO
0 - 2
SHS
13%
22%
65%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
SCA
5 - 2
CAA
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2006 |
HON
3 - 2
SCA
33%
27%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2006 |
SCA
2 - 0
SHF
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
KFC
0 - 2
SCA
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
SCA
0 - 3
BIU
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |