Hong Kong 08 vs Citizen AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SCA
3 - 1
HKO
65%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HKO
1 - 3
SHF
32%
27%
42%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
KFC
4 - 1
HKO
79%
15%
6%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
HKO
1 - 1
BIU
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
HKO
0 - 6
SHS
16%
23%
61%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Citizen AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CAA
4 - 1
HON
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SHF
3 - 2
CAA
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
CAA
4 - 4
KFC
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |