Hønefoss vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
EGE
0 - 0
HON
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
HON
3 - 0
NAR
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
HON
2 - 0
BYA
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
VIN
4 - 2
HON
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
HON
3 - 1
VID
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
BYA
71%
17%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
VIN
3 - 1
VAR
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
VID
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
VAR
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 3
NES
29%
23%
48%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |