Hønefoss vs Tromsdalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
12º
7º
24
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 27.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
GRO
5 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
ULL
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
STB
0 - 3
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HON
4 - 4
EID
45%
21%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
SOI
0 - 5
TRO
5%
9%
86%
|
65 | 25 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
3 - 2
ALT
70%
18%
13%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
ILU
0 - 3
TRO
5%
10%
85%
|
64 | 27 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASK
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 3
TRO
33%
25%
43%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |