Hønefoss vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
11.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.8%
2.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
21
5º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 5
HON
9%
16%
75%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HON
1 - 1
HAR
87%
9%
4%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 6
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
FLO
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 1
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 0
SJE
65%
18%
18%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
MJO
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MJO
0 - 3
ELV
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
MJO
64%
18%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 0
FBG
80%
12%
8%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |