Hønefoss vs Kjelsås analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
12º
7º
17
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 3
HON
34%
24%
43%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ASK
0 - 4
HON
29%
22%
48%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
HON
2 - 3
TRO
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
GRO
5 - 1
HON
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HON
0 - 1
POR
65%
18%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
KJE
2 - 0
TRO
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
GRO
0 - 2
KJE
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
KJE
2 - 1
ASK
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
KJE
0 - 3
LYN
20%
21%
60%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
ULL
1 - 2
KJE
42%
26%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |