Hønefoss vs IL Ulfstind analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
91.1%
Win probability
3.82
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.7%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.7%
6-0
5.1%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.1%
5-0
8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
6.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.1%
2.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
24
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
GJO
50%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 1
HON
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HON
16 - 0
JEV
68%
17%
14%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HON
4 - 1
BRU
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
IL Ulfstind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ILU
1 - 2
SIK
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |