Hønefoss vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
51
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FBG
0 - 6
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
FLO
81%
12%
7%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 1
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HON
7 - 0
SJE
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ILU
2 - 4
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 2
KON
56%
19%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
SIK
52%
20%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 3
HAR
77%
13%
10%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
MJO
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
HAR
47%
20%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |