Hønefoss vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SOG
0 - 0
HON
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
HON
0 - 0
LSK
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
LOV
2 - 5
HON
13%
22%
65%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
HON
3 - 0
MJO
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ASK
1 - 2
HON
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FFK
5 - 1
STB
40%
26%
35%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
FFK
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LSK
0 - 0
FFK
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FFK
3 - 1
ELP
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
FFK
1 - 1
IKS
50%
25%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |