Hønefoss vs Fredrikstad II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
31
7º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HON
6 - 0
ILU
91%
6%
3%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
GJO
50%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 1
HON
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
HON
16 - 0
JEV
68%
17%
14%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 1
SJE
48%
22%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
ELV
2 - 0
FFK
71%
16%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MJO
4 - 0
FFK
21%
19%
61%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FFK
0 - 2
HIF
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ETO
3 - 0
FFK
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |