Hønefoss vs Fløya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
6.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
1º
1º
60
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FYL
0 - 1
HON
5%
12%
83%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HON
7 - 0
SJE
91%
7%
2%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ILU
2 - 4
HON
13%
18%
69%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HON
6 - 1
SIK
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 5
HON
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Fløya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 3
HAR
77%
13%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 3
FLO
25%
22%
53%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
KON
72%
15%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 3
FLO
15%
18%
67%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
8 - 0
FBG
89%
8%
4%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |