Hønefoss vs Eidsvold TF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
1º
12º
7º
25
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 51 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 45 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 45 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 42 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 39 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 28 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 18 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 18.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
35%
25%
40%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
LEV
4 - 0
HON
57%
22%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HON
4 - 2
RFK
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HON
3 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Eidsvold TF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
EID
1 - 2
ALT
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
KJE
4 - 5
EID
34%
24%
42%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
EID
2 - 0
LEV
28%
23%
49%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
RFK
1 - 2
EID
17%
20%
63%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
FOL
66%
19%
16%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |