Hønefoss II vs Modum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
62.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HBK
5 - 3
MJO
37%
22%
41%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2013 |
LOM
2 - 2
HBK
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2013 |
HBK
2 - 3
JEV
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
HBK
0 - 1
BAE
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
HOL
5 - 1
HBK
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Modum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
HOL
0 - 3
MOD
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
MOD
8 - 2
GJO
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +5 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
NLI
3 - 5
MOD
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 3
DBK
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 14 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2013 |
ASK
0 - 2
MOD
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |