Honduras vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
CRC
1 - 1
HND
48%
25%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ECU
2 - 0
HND
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2011 |
HND
2 - 0
SRB
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HND
0 - 3
PAR
34%
28%
38%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HND
2 - 1
JAM
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
NZL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
NZL
2 - 3
JAM
29%
27%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
AUS
3 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
MEX
3 - 0
NZL
79%
14%
7%
|
74 | 93 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CHN
1 - 1
NZL
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |