Honduras vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
HND
4 - 0
CUB
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CUB
0 - 0
HND
14%
22%
64%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
HND
4 - 0
GRD
83%
13%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
JAM
1 - 0
HND
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2023 |
GTM
0 - 0
HND
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
DEU
26%
23%
51%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 0
GHA
73%
18%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
UZB
3 - 3
MEX
15%
22%
63%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MEX
2 - 2
AUS
51%
25%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |